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Beijing eyes strategic copper reserves, tightening supply in volatile market
China’s metals industry establishment is signalling that copper should move higher up the national security agenda, not just the industrial one. At an annual sector briefing, the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association relayed calls from market specialists to enlarge the country’s strategic copper holdings and, in parallel, to lean on big state-owned producers to carry more “working” inventory in the commercial system.
The practical implication is straightforward: if a large, price-sensitive buyer like the Chinese state starts accumulating additional metal, either directly into strategic reserves or indirectly by encouraging producers to warehouse more material, it tightens readily available supply and can reinforce upward price pressure, especially when the market is already skittish after a sharp rally.
February 3, 2026 -
Gold’s wild swing stress-tests the fast-growing market for tokenized bullion
The latest surge in gold, and the abrupt air pocket that followed, is doing more than whipsawing futures traders. It is also acting as an unplanned “stress simulation” for one of crypto’s fastest-growing niches: blockchain tokens that claim to be backed by vaulted bullion. The market for these gold-linked tokens has expanded rapidly since late 2024, reaching a combined value of roughly $6 billion across close to 20 products.
At a basic level, tokenized gold is an attempt to make a centuries-old “store of value” behave like a modern digital asset. A token issuer mints coins on a blockchain and says that each unit corresponds to a defined amount of physical metal held in a vault, giving investors a way to get gold exposure without delivery, insurance, or storage logistics.
February 3, 2026 -
EU recovery fund nears deadline as delays threaten reform ambitions
The European Union’s flagship post-pandemic stimulus was conceived as more than an emergency bridge over a once-in-a-century collapse. It was meant to be a lever for structural modernization: governments would get access to large-scale, jointly financed money only if they paired investment spending with reforms that tackle long-standing drags on productivity, slow permitting, rigid labor markets, underpowered digital infrastructure, weak skills pipelines, and brittle public administration.
In practice, as the programme races toward its late-2026 administrative deadlines, that transformation agenda is colliding with the EU’s familiar constraint: the policy ambition can be continental, but delivery is still intensely national and often local.
February 3, 2026 -
Trump unveils $12 billion critical minerals stockpile for U.S. manufacturers
Donald Trump is moving to institutionalize a civilian-facing strategic buffer for critical minerals through a new vehicle called Project Vault, backed by roughly $12 billion of initial financing. The stated objective is to shield U.S. manufacturers from supply shocks and price spikes in minerals where supply chains are structurally exposed, most notably to Chinese mining, refining, and export-policy leverage.
Unlike the existing U.S. strategic materials stockpile that is primarily oriented toward defense needs, the design here is explicitly industrial and commercial: the reserve is meant to sit behind automakers, tech firms, and other large users that cannot easily pause production when a niche input goes scarce.
February 3, 2026 -
Tokyo trials deep-ocean rare earths to reduce China exposure
Japan is trying to turn the deep ocean into a strategic backstop for its rare-earth supply chain, and the latest step is unusually concrete: the state-backed drilling ship Chikyu has been deploying seabed equipment in waters near Minamitori Island (about 2,000 km from Tokyo) with the goal of running a continuous “lift” test that would bring metal-bearing mud to the surface for analysis as early as February 2027.
Japanese officials say the recent mission already succeeded in recovering rare-earth-bearing samples from roughly 6,000 meters depth, an important proof point because the engineering challenge is not simply “finding” rare earths, but repeatedly lifting heavy slurry under extreme pressure through kilometers of water without choking, breaking, or losing control of the system.
February 3, 2026 -
Brussels’ local-content turn threatens UK role in green industrial chains
The UK government is increasingly worried that the EU’s emerging “Made in Europe” industrial-policy turn could harden into de facto local-content rules that shut British firms out of subsidized value chains, precisely in sectors where production is currently split across the Channel and depends on dense, just-in-time supplier networks.
The concern is not only about headline tariffs or customs checks, but about eligibility: if EU grants, tax credits, procurement preferences, or strategic finance are conditioned on “EU-made” components, then UK plants and UK-based tier suppliers can become the weak link in an otherwise integrated European manufacturing footprint.
February 3, 2026 -
EU weighs banning Russian copper and PGMs in new sanctions
The European Union is weighing a further escalation of its metals sanctions regime by prohibiting imports of several platinum group metals and copper from Russia, with discussion centered on iridium, rhodium, platinum and copper. The package is being prepared for adoption this month, but, like all EU sanctions, would require unanimous approval by member states, which means the final scope will depend on late-stage political bargaining and industry risk assessments.
This prospective step lands in markets that are already unusually tight and highly sensitive to disruptions in “deliverable” material. Copper has traded at record highs in early 2026 amid a mix of speculative inflows and underlying supply constraints, which matters because sanctions don’t have to remove a large share of global metal to move prices; they mainly need to remove the marginal, financeable, easily deliverable units that sit at the heart of trading and inventory systems.
February 3, 2026 -
India’s Russia crude exit becomes price of U.S. tariff relief
The new U.S.-India trade agreement announcement is being framed as a swap between market access and geopolitically charged energy realignment. United States says it will cut tariffs on Indian goods to 18% from the punitive 50% level, and will also remove an extra 25% duty that had been piled on as a penalty for India’s continued purchases of Russian crude.
In return, India is committing to halt purchases of Russian oil, shift crude buying toward U.S. barrels and potentially Venezuela, and reduce trade barriers more broadly, though the public messaging so far is far more expansive than the operational detail provided.
February 3, 2026
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